A stablecoin is worth a dollar because a specific, named legal entity promises to redeem it for a
dollar, and because enough people believe that entity can and will. The peg is a credit
relationship, not a technical property.
Every property that matters follows from taking that sentence seriously.
The primary market: issuance and redemption
There are two entirely different markets in a stablecoin, and confusing them is the source of most bad analysis.1
Primary market: the issuer
A vetted institutional client wires 10m back, minus fees.This is the only place where tokens are created or destroyed, and it is permissioned. Access typically requires onboarding, KYB, and minimum sizes. A retail holder does not redeem with the issuer.
2
Secondary market: everyone else
Exchanges, DeFi pools, and wallets trading tokens that already exist. Price here is set by supply and demand, and it can and does deviate from $1.00.
This is why “the stablecoin is on-chain, so it is trustless” is wrong for fiat-backed tokens. The
chain is trustless about ownership. The dollar behind it is a bank deposit or a Treasury bill
held by a company, subject to that company’s solvency, its custodian’s solvency, and a court’s
willingness to enforce your claim.
Reserves: what is actually behind it
Reserve composition is the whole risk profile, and the categories differ enormously.
Two structural points follow.
Duration mismatch is the classic failure. Tokens are redeemable on demand; if reserves are not, you have built a bank without a lender of last resort. This is why post-GENIUS Act rules in the US mandate short-dated, high-quality reserves: the statute is essentially legislating away the maturity transformation.
Attestation is not audit. Most issuers publish monthly attestations: an accounting firm confirming that on a stated date, stated assets existed. That is meaningfully weaker than a full financial-statement audit with going-concern analysis, and weaker still than continuous proof. Read what the report actually claims before treating it as a guarantee.
The three designs, ranked by how they fail
Fiat-collateralised: USDC, USDT, EURC
Fiat-collateralised: USDC, USDT, EURC
One token, one dollar in reserve, redeemable from the issuer. Roughly the entire market by volume, and about 99% of stablecoin supply is dollar-denominated according to BIS data: a point with real monetary-sovereignty consequences for the countries on the receiving end of a corridor.Fails when: the issuer’s reserves become doubted, a custodian fails, or redemption is gated. Failure is a credit event, and it is fast.This is the only category Arc simulates, because it is the only one a regulated payments business would route customer funds through.
Overcollateralised crypto-backed: DAI and descendants
Overcollateralised crypto-backed: DAI and descendants
Lock 100 of stablecoin. No issuer to trust; the collateral is on-chain and verifiable. But the collateral is volatile, so the system depends on liquidations happening fast enough during exactly the moments when the chain is congested and everyone is selling.Fails when: collateral falls faster than liquidators can act. The failure is mechanical and reflexive rather than a credit event.
Algorithmic: largely a historical category
Algorithmic: largely a historical category
No meaningful collateral; the peg is maintained by a mint-and-burn relationship with a second, floating token. It works while demand grows and unwinds catastrophically when it stops, because the mechanism that defends the peg dilutes the asset backing it.Terra/UST erased approximately $40bn in May 2022. The design is not a variant of the others; it is a different thing wearing the same name, and the regulatory frameworks that arrived afterwards largely define it out of the permitted set.
What this means for a payments business
If you are moving customer money through a stablecoin, you are taking on the issuer’s credit for the duration of the hop. Three consequences shape Arc’s design:Minimise time held.Exposure is a function of duration. Arc’s saga converts, settles and pays out in one flow rather than warehousing stablecoin between transfers: the position exists for seconds, not days.
Make the exposure visible.An unhedged position must be a number someone can look at. Arc’s FX position accounts (
equity.fx_position.EUR / .USDC) are exactly that: the pair carries the open exposure explicitly.A stablecoin leg is a treasury position, not a technical implementation detail. Arc treats it
as one: the conversion is a journal with two currency halves that each balance independently,
bridged by position accounts, so the exposure appears in the trial balance rather than in a
spreadsheet someone maintains by hand.
That design is worked through in full on the ledger page: it is the reason a multi-currency journal cannot be a simple two-legged entry.
Next: settlement and finality
Why “instant” is a marketing word, and finality is a probability curve you choose a point on.
Sources: BIS Annual Economic Report 2025, Chapter III · BIS, “Stablecoins: framing the debate” (2026) · issuer reserve attestations (Circle, Tether) · GENIUS Act, S.1582, 119th Congress. See the bibliography.